Interim Research Update 031020 

Interim Research Update 022820

WEEKLY RESEARCH:  Weekly Insider Data and Commentary files were last updated on Sunday, July 04 2021, with data as of the Friday, July 02 2021 SEC closeout. Please review your Commentary File for particulars. The Insider portion of the Workbook section of the Website was populated with new weekly data and e-mail versions were distributed as well. (Data for all companies, and broad strategy commentary highlights) The Insider Commentary file of the past weekend includes an updated, thumbnail Strategic view of the Markets from the top-down perspective of all models.  MPT Top Down model is Neutral at "0"  On a price performance basis, at the ETF Sector level, Technology, and Health Care outperformed.  Financials, and Energy, lagged. The Market cannot be viewed as a singular snapshot, but operates as a dynamic, moving picture. Employing MPT research to follow and anticipate the most probable trend features, and changes, is an important aspect of the research.

MONTHLY RESEARCH: The July, 2021 edition of Market Profile Theorems was run based on the data close-out of Friday July 2nd. Your specific monthly data files were pushed to you on Sunday, July 4th, 2021.  WEB site data (Workbook section) were available on Monday before 9:00 AM, and included refreshed Probability Plots, Screening features, and Files located in the monthly File Download section of the Web-site. The Strategy notebook will be shipped on Thursday, July 8th. If you did not receive your files, or the notebook by the dates indicated, please contact us.  Reach us by e-mail or call 206-890-6789 if you wish to schedule a conference call in June. Our current universe of coverage is 3,678 issues.

GENERAL COMMENTARY: The July asset allocation projection (for the second month) Favors Large Capitalization and Growth.  MPT bottom-up model performance, relative to the S&P 500, was poor in June, with all 8 screens underperforming the S&P 500.  The Aggregate top-down model is Neutral at "0."  The Technical Model is Bearish at "--1".   The tenor of the Top-down Earnings Model, (+59.2) rocketed to new, historical highs, and is Bullish.  Q1 GDP Recorded 6.4%.  MPT's Earnings-Momentum-model-based Q1, '20 GDP estimate closed at 6%.   MPT  estimate for Q2, '21 GDP is +10.7%.  Yields fell, for the past week, with spreads lower at 120 bps. (2 to 10 year).  See the weekly Insider Commentaries, and the monthly Strategist, (Green Book) for further details and interpretation.  The Dollar was lower 92.41.  Collapse to the 88 level is ahead. Gold remains in position to best 2020 highs, closing at $1783.30 the ounce. BUY.   Expect high volatility in this metal.  Inflationary Forces have strengthened, with the GDPNOW "slow moving" CPI model for mayl rising by45.5% (1-month Annualized).

The Market Cycle, in terms of MPT's "Market Clock," stays 9:00. Strategy is to sell strength.